Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 11.596048 12.888322 14.280435 15.894067 17.716069 19.713127 22.072572
2025-08-24 9.497490 11.257918 13.296365 15.841701 18.949409 22.638671 27.377131
2025-08-31 8.065404 10.078294 12.552254 15.840382 20.131501 25.590065 33.136960
2025-09-07 7.177993 9.382445 12.234207 16.236191 21.775086 29.270364 40.351347
2025-09-14 6.320332 8.579503 11.631150 16.117105 22.649263 31.979967 46.619722
2025-09-21 5.578442 7.822200 10.968244 15.783963 23.117040 34.108672 52.304793
2025-09-28 5.033602 7.266977 10.505666 15.649230 23.809986 36.601188 58.870035
2025-10-05 4.756767 7.063600 10.519956 16.210806 25.613734 41.023291 69.248155
2025-10-12 4.499761 6.856492 10.495239 16.689865 27.320316 45.488338 80.415699
2025-10-19 4.193923 6.538331 10.256128 16.777772 28.359136 48.924151 90.261548
2025-10-26 3.881738 6.177676 9.907698 16.631613 28.952694 51.618017 99.110772
2025-11-02 3.593903 5.829319 9.543106 16.409697 29.367219 54.010794 107.732132
2025-11-09 3.315969 5.480129 9.155822 16.125405 29.669167 56.306394 116.754572
2025-11-16 3.081483 5.186063 8.838316 15.936582 30.135571 59.007222 127.217520
2025-11-23 2.889244 4.949459 8.600710 15.871331 30.837357 62.294638 139.680945
2025-11-30 2.775078 4.842328 8.587323 16.236910 32.466038 67.802410 158.588027
2025-12-07 2.606114 4.620170 8.338508 16.103197 33.016485 71.000863 172.418113
2025-12-14 2.428043 4.366514 8.007117 15.763603 33.070929 73.063162 183.719886
2025-12-21 2.290010 4.177716 7.784446 15.625880 33.555183 76.205406 198.625170
2025-12-28 2.239281 4.153115 7.883039 16.184937 35.715362 83.785668 227.889141
2026-01-04 2.182268 4.111190 7.942125 16.662361 37.746368 91.382341 259.145918
2026-01-11 2.090749 3.992887 7.833470 16.749736 38.835405 96.693048 284.688304
2026-01-18 1.984524 3.836782 7.632650 16.603679 39.318870 100.444244 306.155321